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Friday, August 7, 2020

A Review of My Past Bowman Baseball Recommendations (2017)

At Prospects for Cash I think its important to look back at previous recommendations to see where I went wrong and how to get better. Its important to hold myself accountable. A ton of other sites don't.

Hit Rate - 15 Hits/41 Total Recommendations = 36.59%

The goal is to be around 55% similar to most professional gamblers.

Bargain Bin - A Bowman auto card priced below $10. 

2017 Bowman Draft

Zac Lowther - Baltimore Orioles P - Zac can pitch but no one cared so this is a miss. Keep in mind this is a miss on the price but not on the talent. Tough one. 

MacKenzie Gore - San Diego Padres P - Hit. 

Adam Haseley - Philadelphia Phillies OF - Hit. Money could be made when he was in the minors.

Brian Miller - Miami Marlins OF - No one cared. Miss.

Bubba Thompson - Texas Rangers OF- I would say hit but its close. Prices did spike upon release but if you have him now I would be worried. The contact numbers have not gotten better.

Gavin Sheets - Chicago White Sox 1B - Good stats but now is 24. Bargain bin miss.

Jake Burger - Chicago White Sox 3B - Miss. Injury. 

Jeter Downs - Boston Red Sox SS - Hit. One of my bigger ones. 

Kacy Clemens - Toronto Blue Jays 1B - Bargain bin miss.

Kevin Smith - Toronto Blue Jays SS - Bargain bin miss.

Luis Gonzalez - Chicago White Sox OF - Bargain bin miss.

Tristen Lutz - Milwaukee Brewers OF - He has good power but too much swing and miss. The contact rates were always the risk here. Miss.

2017 Bowman Chrome

Austin Hays - Baltimore Orioles OF - Hit. You needed to flip this one quick. He came out hot on the market then his performance dropped. 

Dawel Lugo - Arizona Diamondbacks 3B - Bargain bin miss. 

Jazz Chisholm - Arizona Diamondbacks SS - Bargain bin hit. Sold for under $10 upon initial release and now selling for $20.

Jorge Ona - San Diego Padres, OF - Miss. Injury. 

Jesus Sanchez - Tampa Bay Rays OF - Hit. The kid can play. 

Khalil Lee - Kansas City Royals OF - One of my favorite prospects. But this one is a miss. 

Lazarito Armenteros - Oakland Athletics OF - Miss. Way too many strikeouts.

Mitch Keller - Pittsburgh Pirates P - Hit. Money was made here. Was hot in the minors. 

Max Schrock - St Louis Cardinals 2B - Bargain bin miss. 

Mitchell White - Los Angeles Dodgers P - Miss. Pitchers are tough. 

Nick Banks - Washington Nationals OF - Bargain bin miss. 

Ryan Howard - San Francisco Giants SS - Bargain bin miss. 

Starling Heredia - Los Angeles Dodgers OF - Miss.

Sixto Sanchez - Miami Marlins P - Hit. Injuries slowed him down a bit but money could of been made here.

Torii Hunter Jr. - Los Angeles Angels OF - Miss. Good start but has not taken off in the minors. 

Yusniel Diaz - Baltimore Orioles OF - Miss. Not a bad player but no one cares. 

2017 Bowman Baseball 

Triston McKenzie - Cleveland Indians P - Close but a miss. I think his frame is too small. 

Nick Senzel - Cincinnati Reds 3B - Hit. There were opportunities to make money here despite the injuries.

Eloy Jimenez - Chicago White Sox OF - Hit. Good power bat. 

Blake Rutherford  - Chicago White Sox OF - Miss. Has not improved so far. 

TJ Friedl - Cincinatti Reds OF - Miss. Talented player but never got to the high levels. 

Yu-Cheng Chang - Cleveland Indians SS - Miss. 24 years old. I was hoping the contact rate would improve. 

Other Recommendations 

Yoan Moncada - Chicago White Sox 3B - Hit. Has improved his contact rate but his card price is stable. 

Andrew Benintendi - Boston Red Sox LF - Hit. A strong market helps here. Good player. 

Jahmai Jones - Los Angeles Angels 2B - Hit. If you sold in 2017 this was a hit. He was on fire. Overall he has not lived up to expectations. 

Matt Thaiss - Los Angeles Angels 1B - Miss. Loved his power and contact but prices never took off. 

Vladimir Guerrero Jr - Toronto Blue Jays 1B/3B - Hit. 

Nick Gordon - Minnesota Twins SS - Miss. Loved Nick Gordon but he never could get going in the minors. 

Garrett Whitley - Tampa Bay Rays OF - Big miss. Injuries and poor performance. 

Takeaways

1. Going for high upside prospects can sometime backfire. 
2. A prospect can be good but if they do not have a following it does not matter. 
3. I missed on a ton of low cost (Bargain Bin) prospects. 

Lnks to Original Prospect Review Posts



Friday, July 31, 2020

New York Yankees OF Jasson Dominguez - I Want to Believe

Jasson Dominguez has officially taken the prospecting world over. Bowman auto prices are well above $1,000 and base card prices are also expensive. Nicknamed "The Martian", reports are stating he possesses rare physical tools. Jasson has power from both sides of the plate, is a plus runner and projects to be a future superstar if everything clicks. Recently he posted a video of him taking batting practice on Instagram and let’s just say he looks huge! Could these be camera tricks playing games with us? Maybe. The reaction to the video has been hilarious. Some people have even dropped him in their prospect rankings because he looked too big for their liking. To help readers, I have listed my pros, cons and thoughts on Jasson below. 

Pros
1. He is a New York Yankee.
2. He has a power/speed profile. 
3. He has power from both sides of the plate as a switch hitter.
4. He already has a following on social media. 
5. He is 17 years old.

Cons
1. He has not played in a professional game yet.
2. Could possibly lose speed as he matures. 
3. Limited scouting reports and data. 
4. Bowman card prices are already expensive. 

My Thoughts
Unfortunately, Jasson's card prices are way out of my price range or budget to purchase. To me the hype machine has boosted up his card value, but the main reason for the spike in price is because he is a New York Yankee. Due to the most hyped prospect being a member of a global brand, it has created a perfect storm. It’s hard for me to say anything else until he plays. Could he be a superstar? Of course. Could he be a bust? Of course. It may take some time to find out due to find out due to the pandemic, but eventually we will have some answers. 

Thursday, July 9, 2020

My Favorite Prospects on MLB 60 Man Rosters

The MLB season is scheduled to start late July and while there is not a minor league season, a few of my favorite prospects are on the 60 man rosters. Its hard to say if any of these players will play but at least they are around the big league club and able to workout. A full list of the prospects on rosters can be located here via MLB Pipeline.

Tampa Bay Rays
Wander Franco, SS
Vidal Brujan 2B/SS

Boston Red Sox 
Bobby Dalbec, 3B/1B

Cleveland Indians
Nolan Jones, 3B
Tyler Freeman, SS
Bo Naylor, C

Kansas City Royals
Bobby Witt Jr, SS
Khalil Lee, OF

Detroit Tigers
Matt Manning, RHP

Minnesota Twins
Alex Krilloff, OF
Trevor Larnach, OF

Chicago White Sox 
Andrew Vaughn, 1B
Nick Madrigal, 2B

Los Angeles Angels
Jo Adell, OF
Brandon Marsh, OF
Jordyn Adams, OF

Oakland Athletics
Robert Puason, SS

Seattle Mariners
Jarred Kelenic, OF
Julio Rodriguez, OF

Atlanta Braves 
Cristian Pache, OF

St. Louis Cardinals
Dylan Carlson, OF
Nolan Gorman, 3B

Chicago Cubs
Brennen Davis, OF
Miguel Amaya, C

Pittsburgh Pirates
Oneil Cruz, SS
Ke'Bryan Hayes, 3B

Cincinnati Reds
Nick Lodolo, LHP
Stuart Fairchild, OF

Arizona Diamondbacks
Alek Thomas, OF
Daulton Varsho, C
Corbin Carroll, OF
Pavin Smith, OF

Los Angeles Dodgers
Gavin Lux, SS
Josiah Gray, RHP

San Francisco Giants
Heliot Ramos, OF

San Diego Padres
CJ Abrams, SS