At Prospects for Cash I think its important to look back at previous recommendations to see where I went wrong and how to get better. Its important to hold myself accountable. A ton of other sites don't.
Hit Rate - 15 Hits/41 Total Recommendations = 36.59%
The goal is to be around 55% similar to most professional gamblers.
Bargain Bin - A Bowman auto card priced below $10.
2017 Bowman Draft
2017 Bowman Chrome
2017 Bowman Baseball
Other Recommendations
Yoan Moncada - Chicago White Sox 3B - Hit. Has improved his contact rate but his card price is stable.
Andrew Benintendi - Boston Red Sox LF - Hit. A strong market helps here. Good player.
2017 Bowman Draft
Zac Lowther - Baltimore Orioles P - Zac can pitch but no one cared so this is a miss. Keep in mind this is a miss on the price but not on the talent. Tough one.
MacKenzie Gore - San Diego Padres P - Hit.
Adam Haseley - Philadelphia Phillies OF - Hit. Money could be made when he was in the minors.
Brian Miller - Miami Marlins OF - No one cared. Miss.
Bubba Thompson - Texas Rangers OF- I would say hit but its close. Prices did spike upon release but if you have him now I would be worried. The contact numbers have not gotten better.
Gavin Sheets - Chicago White Sox 1B - Good stats but now is 24. Bargain bin miss.
Jake Burger - Chicago White Sox 3B - Miss. Injury.
Jeter Downs - Boston Red Sox SS - Hit. One of my bigger ones.
Kacy Clemens - Toronto Blue Jays 1B - Bargain bin miss.
Kevin Smith - Toronto Blue Jays SS - Bargain bin miss.
Luis Gonzalez - Chicago White Sox OF - Bargain bin miss.
Tristen Lutz - Milwaukee Brewers OF - He has good power but too much swing and miss. The contact rates were always the risk here. Miss.
Austin Hays - Baltimore Orioles OF - Hit. You needed to flip this one quick. He came out hot on the market then his performance dropped.
Dawel Lugo - Arizona Diamondbacks 3B - Bargain bin miss.
Dawel Lugo - Arizona Diamondbacks 3B - Bargain bin miss.
Jazz Chisholm - Arizona Diamondbacks SS - Bargain bin hit. Sold for under $10 upon initial release and now selling for $20.
Jorge Ona - San Diego Padres, OF - Miss. Injury.
Jesus Sanchez - Tampa Bay Rays OF - Hit. The kid can play.
Khalil Lee - Kansas City Royals OF - One of my favorite prospects. But this one is a miss.
Lazarito Armenteros - Oakland Athletics OF - Miss. Way too many strikeouts.
Mitch Keller - Pittsburgh Pirates P - Hit. Money was made here. Was hot in the minors.
Max Schrock - St Louis Cardinals 2B - Bargain bin miss.
Mitchell White - Los Angeles Dodgers P - Miss. Pitchers are tough.
Nick Banks - Washington Nationals OF - Bargain bin miss.
Ryan Howard - San Francisco Giants SS - Bargain bin miss.
Starling Heredia - Los Angeles Dodgers OF - Miss.
Sixto Sanchez - Miami Marlins P - Hit. Injuries slowed him down a bit but money could of been made here.
Torii Hunter Jr. - Los Angeles Angels OF - Miss. Good start but has not taken off in the minors.
Yusniel Diaz - Baltimore Orioles OF - Miss. Not a bad player but no one cares.
2017 Bowman Baseball
Triston McKenzie - Cleveland Indians P - Close but a miss. I think his frame is too small.
Nick Senzel - Cincinnati Reds 3B - Hit. There were opportunities to make money here despite the injuries.
Eloy Jimenez - Chicago White Sox OF - Hit. Good power bat.
Blake Rutherford - Chicago White Sox OF - Miss. Has not improved so far.
TJ Friedl - Cincinatti Reds OF - Miss. Talented player but never got to the high levels.
Yu-Cheng Chang - Cleveland Indians SS - Miss. 24 years old. I was hoping the contact rate would improve.
Other Recommendations
Yoan Moncada - Chicago White Sox 3B - Hit. Has improved his contact rate but his card price is stable.
Andrew Benintendi - Boston Red Sox LF - Hit. A strong market helps here. Good player.
Jahmai Jones - Los Angeles Angels 2B - Hit. If you sold in 2017 this was a hit. He was on fire. Overall he has not lived up to expectations.
Matt Thaiss - Los Angeles Angels 1B - Miss. Loved his power and contact but prices never took off.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr - Toronto Blue Jays 1B/3B - Hit.
Nick Gordon - Minnesota Twins SS - Miss. Loved Nick Gordon but he never could get going in the minors.
Garrett Whitley - Tampa Bay Rays OF - Big miss. Injuries and poor performance.
Takeaways
1. Going for high upside prospects can sometime backfire.
2. A prospect can be good but if they do not have a following it does not matter.
3. I missed on a ton of low cost (Bargain Bin) prospects.
1. Going for high upside prospects can sometime backfire.
2. A prospect can be good but if they do not have a following it does not matter.
3. I missed on a ton of low cost (Bargain Bin) prospects.
Lnks to Original Prospect Review Posts