In addition to Alderson's comment, manager Terry Collins added, “We should be playing in October. Our young guys are starting to grow, with the addition of some offense, and ... we’re not done. I don’t think (GM) Sandy (Alderson) by any means (is done)... we’re going to make some more moves before spring training starts.” Collins concluded, “I think 2015 is going to be a good year for us.”
Last year, the Mets finished with 79 wins.
In CF, we still have gold glover Juan Lagares, and in RF, we still have the Grandy man. But, in LF we added Cuddyer. For the most part, we had Eric and Chris Young in LF, both of whom had a combined 0.9. Cuddyer could be around a 1.8 with a healthy year, so bump that 79 win total up to 80 wins.
In 2013, Harvey's WAR was 5.2. That's about 4 more WAR than the Mets #5 SP produced in 2014. So, a healthy season for Harvey bumps us up to 84 wins conservatively. That's now a winning team (84-78).
Jacob deGrom, Mr. Rookie of the Year, had a 3.1 WAR in only 22 starts. If he continues to pitch the way he has, but throughout the course of a full season, that would add another WAR. Now, we're up to a record of 85-77.
In the infield, Duda, Wright, Murphy, and d'Arnaud will probably remain, with question marks surrounding Ruben Tejada, who owned a WAR of 1.4. The Mets are interested in upgrading, and Alexei Ramirez's name has been thrown around. Alexei had a nice WAR of 3.0 (1.6 more WAR than Ruben). If we can get Alexei or a similar SS like Starlin, bump our wins up to 86. Now we're really rolling at 86-76.
Now let's get a little crazy. Wright and Granderson had off years. Wright's 2.8 WAR last year pales in comparison to his 5.8 in 2013 and 7.0 in 2012. That's a 3-4 win drop from his norm. Granderson's 1.3 WAR was also about 3 wins below his norm while with the Yankees. Now, the Mets have moved in the fences and we can expect better numbers from both players, especially in the power department. Best case scenario, if both Wright and Granderson increase their WAR to their normal range (+3 for each), that's 6 more wins, which puts us at 92 wins (70 losses) ... a playoff team.
Sure, everything has to fall into place, considerations have to be made for more moves and struggles from rookies (Syndergaard?), players have to stay healthy, and we probably need some help at SS, but hey, it doesn't hurt to dream.
|Movin' on up...|