Monday, July 31, 2017

A Few Impressive Hitting Prospects

I took some time over the weekend to run some numbers and the results are interesting. Here are a few hitters who are having impressive seasons. All of the names have a minimum of 175 plate appearances, a strikeout rate of less than 20%, a walk rate (BB) greater than 8% and an ISO (Isolated Power) greater than .140. The report shows hitters who have plate discipline and power. The overall list is not long.

Bo Bichette (TOR) - 16.20% K rate - 8.40% BB - 0.212 ISO
Brandon Lowe (TB)  - 17.50% K rate - 12.80% BB - 0.218 ISO
Lewis Brinson (MIL) -  18.90% K rate - 10.10% BB - 0.225 ISO
Rafael Devers (BOS) - 17.60% K rate - 9.50% BB - 0.267 ISO
Rhys Hoskins (PHI)-  15.50% K rate - 13.50% BB - 0.280 ISO
Willie Calhoun (TEX) - 12.00% K rate - 8.30% BB - 0.278 ISO
Gleyber Torres (NYY) - 20.00% K rate - 12.80% BB - 0..193 ISO
Ronald Guzman (TEX) -  15.50% K rate - 9.10% BB - 0.163 ISO - Buy
Carson Kelly (STL) -  14.30% K rate - 11.80% BB - 0.176 ISO - Needs a Chrome Auto
DJ Stewart (BAL) -  16.80% K rate - 11.10% BB - 0.174 ISO - Bargain Bin Buy
Jahmai Jones (LAA) -  16.70% K rate - 8.30% BB - 0.144 ISO - STRONG BUY
JP Crawford (PHI) - 17.00% K rate - 14.80% BB - 0.145 ISO - Buy if under $20. Hold if you already own.

16 comments:

  1. Hey thx for your latest post! I didn't realize D.J Stewart was doing that well. Over the past few years, I've noticed that pitchers don't turn a profit as much as hitters. If u can help me out, I want to know if these pitchers I saw are worth putting $ into because #1 starters are the only ones that make u $. This would help me out so much. Ian Anderson Mike soroka Kolby allard Jason groome Triston Mckenzie beau burrows Matt manning Forrest Whitley Scott blewett foster Griffin Tyler kolek Braxton Garrett aj puk Franklyn kilome Mitch Keller anderson Espinoza Nick neidert Sean Reid- foley And what about walker buehler since he is so expensive? I left off NY teams since I invest in them anyway, but am I missing any good pitching investments? Lmk when u have a chance. Thx, Adam

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  2. Thanks Adam123nats.I appreciate the comment. When you look at the top 100 there are not many arms on the list. You want to invest in a #1/#2 starter and stay away from guys that might go to the bullpen. All the names you mentioned are very good. I like McKenzie, Puk and Allard the most. Walker Buehler and Honeywell are good but high end. I don't think you missed anything at all.

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  3. So u would say that most of the ppl on the list would be #1/2 starters?

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    1. Yes most but not of the names are #1/2 starters. Keep an eye on how they are progressing. Another guy to take a look at is Justin Dunn of the Mets.

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  4. Replies
    1. Good prospect definitely a #1/2 starter.

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  5. what do you think about older prospects like colin moran, J.d. davis

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    Replies
    1. No problem with older prospects but price and performance is the key.

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  6. is your excel thing still available for purchase

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    Replies
    1. The excel item is no longer available but I am developing something to help people scout better.

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  7. would you think about investing in Alex Bregman? he's the future in Houston at 3B. he should figure it out sometime...

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    Replies
    1. 15%K rate with a 10% walk rate this year. Power is the last thing to come. I would do it because he has the plate discipline.

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  8. btw which pitchers wouldnt be #1 or 2 starters?

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    Replies
    1. Kind of tough to tell at the moment but the ones I named for sure have 1 to 2 potential.

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  9. What do u think of Tyler Kolek? Look forward to hearing your responses.
    Thx,
    Adam

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    Replies
    1. The upside is high enough to invest in auto's under 5 bucks. It's a long term hold.

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