The MLB season is scheduled to start late July and while there is not a minor league season, a few of my favorite prospects are on the 60 man rosters. Its hard to say if any of these players will play but at least they are around the big league club and able to workout. A full list of the prospects on rosters can be located here via MLB Pipeline.
Tampa Bay Rays
Wander Franco, SS
Vidal Brujan 2B/SS
Boston Red Sox
Bobby Dalbec, 3B/1B
Cleveland Indians
Nolan Jones, 3B
Tyler Freeman, SS
Bo Naylor, C
Kansas City Royals
Bobby Witt Jr, SS
Khalil Lee, OF
Detroit Tigers
Matt Manning, RHP
Minnesota Twins
Alex Krilloff, OF
Trevor Larnach, OF
Chicago White Sox
Andrew Vaughn, 1B
Nick Madrigal, 2B
Los Angeles Angels
Jo Adell, OF
Brandon Marsh, OF
Jordyn Adams, OF
Oakland Athletics
Robert Puason, SS
Seattle Mariners
Jarred Kelenic, OF
Julio Rodriguez, OF
Atlanta Braves
Cristian Pache, OF
St. Louis Cardinals
Dylan Carlson, OF
Nolan Gorman, 3B
Chicago Cubs
Brennen Davis, OF
Miguel Amaya, C
Pittsburgh Pirates
Oneil Cruz, SS
Ke'Bryan Hayes, 3B
Cincinnati Reds
Nick Lodolo, LHP
Stuart Fairchild, OF
Arizona Diamondbacks
Alek Thomas, OF
Daulton Varsho, C
Corbin Carroll, OF
Pavin Smith, OF
Los Angeles Dodgers
Gavin Lux, SS
Josiah Gray, RHP
San Francisco Giants
Heliot Ramos, OF
San Diego Padres
CJ Abrams, SS
Showing posts with label Prospect Updates. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Prospect Updates. Show all posts
Thursday, July 9, 2020
Friday, May 29, 2020
A Review of My Past Bowman Baseball Recommendations (2015-16)
Here at Prospects for Cash I think its important to look back at previous recommendations to see where I went wrong and how to get better. Its important to hold myself accountable. A ton of other sites don't.
Hit Rate - 19 Hits/44 Total Recommendations = 43%
The goal is to be around 55% similar to most professional gamblers.
2016 Bowman Chrome Draft
Alex Kirlloff - Minnesota Twins OF - Hit. I prefer to wait until they play past rookie ball.
Bo Bichette - Toronto Blue Jays SS - Hit. He's good.
Cavan Biggio - Toronto Blue Jays 2B - Hit. Auto's were dirt cheap upon release.
Justin Dunn - Seattle Mariners P - Miss. Tough one. Awesome talent but never really took off. Notice a trend with pitchers?
Pete Alonso - New York Mets 1B - Auto's were $10-$15 bucks upon release. Hit.
Taylor Trammell - San Diego Padres OF - Hit. One of my strongest recommendations.
Will Benson - Cleveland Indians OF - Hit. Still keeping an eye on him.
AJ Puk - Oakland Athletics P - Hit. Was really on fire before the elbow surgery. Did you sell at the right time?
Corey Ray - Milwaukee Brewers OF - Hit. Waited but never purchased an auto. A bust so far.
Bobby Dalbec - Boston Red Sox 3B - Another player I avoided. Too many K's. Hit
Delvin Perez - St Louis Cardinals SS - Hit. Because i did not buy him.
Gavin Lux - Los Angeles Dodgers 2B - Hit. Check my posts in 2017.
2016 Bowman Chrome
Domingo Leyba - Arizona Diamondbacks 2B - See Dustin Fowler.
Dustin Fowler - New York Yankees OF - A good player but never really took off. Miss.
Juan Soto - Washington Nationals OF - Hit. A beast. Rookie ball stats do not matter.
Oneil Cruz - Pittsburgh Pirates OF - Hit. Auto's were going for $5 bucks at this time. Now they are $40.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr - Toronto Blue Jays OF - Hit. Nothing else really to say here. His auto was less than $100 bucks at this time.
Yadier Alvarez - Los Angeles Dodgers P - Miss.
Cornelius Randolph - Philadelphia Phillies OF - Miss. Only 22 but I thought he would be a better hitter.
Jahmai Jones - Los Angeles Angles 2B - Miss. I expected him to be in the majors already.
Eddy Martinez - Chicago Cubs OF - Miss.
2016 Bowman Baseball
Tyler O'Neill - St Louis Cardinals OF - Miss. Bench player.
Jhailyn Ortiz - Philadelphia Phillies OF - Miss. Only 21 but has great power. Contact has not improved.
Juan Yepez - St Louis Cardinals 1B - Miss. 22 years old. Has power but never really devloped like I expected.
Anderson Espinoza - San Diego Padres P - Miss. Has battled injuries.
2015 Bowman Draft
Carson Fulmer - Chicago White Sox P - Miss. Never got to the level I thought he would.
Dillon Tate - Baltimore Orioles P - Miss. See above.
Phil Bickford - Milwaukee Brewers P - Miss. Great talent but never put it all together.
Austin Riley - Atlanta Braves 3B - Hit. Great debut. Dropped off a bit but you could of made good money here.
Christin Stewart - Detroit Tigers OF - Miss. One of those cases where a nice prospect plays well but no one cares because the team is not good.
Trent Clark - San Diego Padres OF - Hit. I would say this is a hit but you really had to be patient and sell at the right time.
Ke'Bryan Hayes - Pittsburgh Pirates 3B - Hit. A top 100 prospect but still needs to hit for more power.
Other Recommendations
Gary Sanchez - New York Yankees C - Nov 2015 - Hit. Was very hot when he was called up and remains a contributor.
Tyler Stephenson - Cincinnati Reds C - April 2016 - Miss. Has battled injuries and catchers take a while to develop.
Ronald Guzman - Texas Rangers 1B - May 2016 - Miss. A hit only prospect that did not take off as expected.
Tim Anderson - Chicago White Sox SS - May 2016 - Miss. This one is tough. He has played well but the price has not taken off.
Clint Frazier - New York Yankees OF - June 2016 - Miss. Loved the talent but is blocked in New York. If he stayed in Cleveland I think he would of been a star.
Alex Verdugo - Boston Red Sox OF - July 2016 - Hit. Prices have remained consistent and he is still in a big market.
Bradley Zimmer - Cleveland Indians OF - July 2016 - Miss. Loved his athletic ability but did not pop as expected.
Lewis Brinson - Miami Marlins OF - July 2016 - Miss. Loved the talent and if you sold at the right time you made money .
Travis Demeritte - Detroit Tigers OF - July 2016 - Miss. Too many strikeouts.
Nick Plummer - St Louis Cardinals OF - July 2016 - Miss. Never developed.
Daz Cameron - Detroit Tigers - July 2016 - Miss. Too many strikeouts.
David Dahl - Colorado Rockies OF - Miss. Loved Dahl as a prospect but he battled injuries and Colorado prospects never sell. I was really high on him.
Takeaways
1. Pitchers don't sell unless they are an ace and continue to be the biggest investment risk.
2. Prospecting is harder than you think.
3. Patience is key.
4. Sometimes its good to sell a player while they are still in the minors.
5. A lot of players don't come close to making it.
Links to Original Prospect Review Posts
2015 Bowman Draft Prospect Post
2016 Bowman Baseball Prospect Post
2016 Bowman Baseball Prospect Post Pt 2
2016 Bowman Chrome Prospect Post
2016 Bowman Draft Prospect Post
Hit Rate - 19 Hits/44 Total Recommendations = 43%
The goal is to be around 55% similar to most professional gamblers.
2016 Bowman Chrome Draft
Alex Kirlloff - Minnesota Twins OF - Hit. I prefer to wait until they play past rookie ball.
Bo Bichette - Toronto Blue Jays SS - Hit. He's good.
Cavan Biggio - Toronto Blue Jays 2B - Hit. Auto's were dirt cheap upon release.
Justin Dunn - Seattle Mariners P - Miss. Tough one. Awesome talent but never really took off. Notice a trend with pitchers?
Pete Alonso - New York Mets 1B - Auto's were $10-$15 bucks upon release. Hit.
Taylor Trammell - San Diego Padres OF - Hit. One of my strongest recommendations.
Will Benson - Cleveland Indians OF - Hit. Still keeping an eye on him.
AJ Puk - Oakland Athletics P - Hit. Was really on fire before the elbow surgery. Did you sell at the right time?
Corey Ray - Milwaukee Brewers OF - Hit. Waited but never purchased an auto. A bust so far.
Bobby Dalbec - Boston Red Sox 3B - Another player I avoided. Too many K's. Hit
Delvin Perez - St Louis Cardinals SS - Hit. Because i did not buy him.
Gavin Lux - Los Angeles Dodgers 2B - Hit. Check my posts in 2017.
2016 Bowman Chrome
Domingo Leyba - Arizona Diamondbacks 2B - See Dustin Fowler.
Dustin Fowler - New York Yankees OF - A good player but never really took off. Miss.
Juan Soto - Washington Nationals OF - Hit. A beast. Rookie ball stats do not matter.
Oneil Cruz - Pittsburgh Pirates OF - Hit. Auto's were going for $5 bucks at this time. Now they are $40.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr - Toronto Blue Jays OF - Hit. Nothing else really to say here. His auto was less than $100 bucks at this time.
Yadier Alvarez - Los Angeles Dodgers P - Miss.
Cornelius Randolph - Philadelphia Phillies OF - Miss. Only 22 but I thought he would be a better hitter.
Jahmai Jones - Los Angeles Angles 2B - Miss. I expected him to be in the majors already.
Eddy Martinez - Chicago Cubs OF - Miss.
2016 Bowman Baseball
Tyler O'Neill - St Louis Cardinals OF - Miss. Bench player.
Jhailyn Ortiz - Philadelphia Phillies OF - Miss. Only 21 but has great power. Contact has not improved.
Juan Yepez - St Louis Cardinals 1B - Miss. 22 years old. Has power but never really devloped like I expected.
Anderson Espinoza - San Diego Padres P - Miss. Has battled injuries.
2015 Bowman Draft
Carson Fulmer - Chicago White Sox P - Miss. Never got to the level I thought he would.
Dillon Tate - Baltimore Orioles P - Miss. See above.
Phil Bickford - Milwaukee Brewers P - Miss. Great talent but never put it all together.
Austin Riley - Atlanta Braves 3B - Hit. Great debut. Dropped off a bit but you could of made good money here.
Christin Stewart - Detroit Tigers OF - Miss. One of those cases where a nice prospect plays well but no one cares because the team is not good.
Trent Clark - San Diego Padres OF - Hit. I would say this is a hit but you really had to be patient and sell at the right time.
Ke'Bryan Hayes - Pittsburgh Pirates 3B - Hit. A top 100 prospect but still needs to hit for more power.
Other Recommendations
Gary Sanchez - New York Yankees C - Nov 2015 - Hit. Was very hot when he was called up and remains a contributor.
Tyler Stephenson - Cincinnati Reds C - April 2016 - Miss. Has battled injuries and catchers take a while to develop.
Ronald Guzman - Texas Rangers 1B - May 2016 - Miss. A hit only prospect that did not take off as expected.
Tim Anderson - Chicago White Sox SS - May 2016 - Miss. This one is tough. He has played well but the price has not taken off.
Clint Frazier - New York Yankees OF - June 2016 - Miss. Loved the talent but is blocked in New York. If he stayed in Cleveland I think he would of been a star.
Alex Verdugo - Boston Red Sox OF - July 2016 - Hit. Prices have remained consistent and he is still in a big market.
Bradley Zimmer - Cleveland Indians OF - July 2016 - Miss. Loved his athletic ability but did not pop as expected.
Lewis Brinson - Miami Marlins OF - July 2016 - Miss. Loved the talent and if you sold at the right time you made money .
Travis Demeritte - Detroit Tigers OF - July 2016 - Miss. Too many strikeouts.
Nick Plummer - St Louis Cardinals OF - July 2016 - Miss. Never developed.
Daz Cameron - Detroit Tigers - July 2016 - Miss. Too many strikeouts.
David Dahl - Colorado Rockies OF - Miss. Loved Dahl as a prospect but he battled injuries and Colorado prospects never sell. I was really high on him.
Takeaways
1. Pitchers don't sell unless they are an ace and continue to be the biggest investment risk.
2. Prospecting is harder than you think.
3. Patience is key.
4. Sometimes its good to sell a player while they are still in the minors.
5. A lot of players don't come close to making it.
Links to Original Prospect Review Posts
2015 Bowman Draft Prospect Post
2016 Bowman Baseball Prospect Post
2016 Bowman Baseball Prospect Post Pt 2
2016 Bowman Chrome Prospect Post
2016 Bowman Draft Prospect Post
Sunday, October 1, 2017
2017 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Analysis - Full Review
Topps has released 2017 Bowman Chrome Baseball and the prospect autograph list is longer than expected. I have researched every prospect's stats and have provided thoughts and early recommendations. Cases are still being opened so prices may be a little inflated but should normalize in a few weeks. If you are ripping wax you most likely will sell immediately to make your profits so all suggestions may not apply. If you have any comments feel free to leave one on the site or message me on Twitter @Prospects4Cash. Thanks for reading!
Albert Abreu - New York Yankees, P - Nice prospect with upside. Keep an eye on him. Remember prices for Yankee prospects tend to be inflated. Buy.
Andrew Calica - Cleveland Indians, OF - Calica put up nice numbers this season. I am just not sure if he will hit for enough pop. I rate him as a Watch.
Austin Hays - Baltimore Orioles, OF - Austin Hays is a Strong Buy based off the stats but prices are close to $100. Hays is talented.
Andy Ibanez - Texas Rangers, 2B - Older prospect that has repeated AA. Decent numbers but I don't see a big upside. Pass.
Anthony Kay - New York Mets, P - Kay had Tommy John surgery and will not pitch until 2018. Pass
Adrian Morejon - San Diego Padres, P - Very young prospect with a high amount of walks. I would wait to see if he can increase he K/9 rate and improve his command. I rate him as a Watch
Alfredo Rodriguez - Cincinnati Reds, SS - Alfredo is a great prospect but I'm not sure if the pop is there. He should start next season in AA but I am leaning towards a Pass rating.
Anderson Tejeda - Texas Rangers, SS - Another young prospect with a high strikeout rate. I would keep an eye on him. Watch.
Alberto Tirado - Philadelphia Phillies, P - Pass. K/9 rate is decent but the walks are too high for me.
Bryson Brigman - Seattle Mariners, 2B - Pass. Not enough pop and the Seattle market struggles to sell.
Braden Bishop - Seattle Mariners, OF - See above.
Brian Mundell - Colorado Rockies, 1B - Pass. Nice stats but Rockies prospects do not sell unless they are a superstar.
Clint Frazier - New York Yankees, OF - Pass. The first auto is always the best one.
Chris Paddack - San Diego Padres, P - Pass. Tommy John.
Cole Stobbe - Philadelphia Phillies, 3B - Pass. Strikeout rate is too high for me.
Chih-Wei Hu - Tampa Bay Rays, P - Pass. Not enough strikeouts for me to invest. Save your money and wait for McKay.
David Fletcher - Los Angeles Angels, 2B - Pass. Not enough power for me.
Daniel Gossett - Oakland Athletics, P - Pass. Need to see more K's.
Dawel Lugo - Arizona Diamondbacks, 3B - Strong Buy. Great power numbers with a respectable strikeout rate.
Dinelson Lamet - San Diego Padres, P - Pass. 25yr old prospect already in the majors.
Felix Jorge - Minnesota Twins, P - Pass. Seems to be a reliever vs starter.
Francisco Mejia - Cleveland Indians, C - Pass. See Clint Frazier.
Gage Hinsz - Pittsburgh Pirates, P - Pass. Not enough K's and his FIP is too high.
Griffin Jax - Minnesota Twins, P - Watch. Sample size is too small.
Grayson Long - Los Angeles Angels, P - Watch. Long put up some nice numbers in 2017.
Heath Quinn - San Francisco Giants, OF - Watch. I want to see his K rate come down. He seems to swing for the fences.
Isaiah White - Cincinnati Reds, OF- Pass. Long term project.
Jose Azocar - Detroit Tigers, OF - Pass. Not enough pop.
Jazz Chisholm - Arizona Diamondbacks, SS - Young prospect that is a project but shows flashes of power. I rate Jazz as a Buy.
Jon Duplantier - Arizona Diamondbacks, P - Pass. Long injury history and may be moved to the pen.
Jameson Fisher - Chicago White Sox, OF - Jameson is a good prospect but I would like to see the K rate drop a little. I rate Fisher as a Watch. He seems to have decent power potential.
Jorge Ona - San Diego Padres, OF - Buy if under $25. 20 year old prospect with a 8.6% walk rate and a 25% K rate. The power numbers are there.
Jesus Sanchez - Tampa Bay Rays, OF - Strong Buy. Jesus hit 15 home runs and his extra base hits are at the levels I want to see (13 doubles/7 Triples). The K rate is also a plus (17.8%).
Josh Sborz - Los Angeles Dodgers, P - Pass. Not enough K's. Too many walks.
Jose Trevino - Texas Rangers, C - Pass. I like the stats but he's a little too old in my opinion.
Keegan Akin - Baltimore Orioles, P - Watch. Let's see if he can cut down on the walks. Most likely a 4/5 starter.
Khalil Lee - Kansas City Royals, OF - Strong Buy. The strikeouts are high but Lee is only 19 years old and is a long term project.
Luis Arraez - Minnesota Twins, 2B - Pass. No pop.
Lazarito Armenteros - Oakland Athletics, OF - Buy. Young prospect but seems to have good pop and hit for a decent average.
Luis Alexander Basabe - Chicago White Sox, OF- Watch. I want to see improvement before purchasing. Auto's are under $5.
Lewis Brinson - Milwaukee Brewers, OF - Pass. See Clint Frazier.
Logan Ice - Cleveland Indians, C - Pass. Stats are nice but he is blocked. Buy if he is traded.
Leody Taveras - Texas Rangers, OF - Pass. See Clint Frazier.
Miguel Gomez - San Francisco Giants, 2B - Older prospect that had a cup of coffee in the majors. I will Pass.
Michael Kopech - Chicago White Sox, P - Pass. See Clint Frazier.
Mitch Keller - Pittsburgh Pirates, P - Strong Buy. Pirates have another potential stud. Try to buy if under $20. Injuries have kept him low on prospect lists.
Magneuris Sierra - St. Louis Cardinals, OF - Pass. Speedster with good defense.
Max Schrock - Oakland Athletics, 2B - I rate as a Buy. Auto's are low but he seems to be a good hitter with 20HR potential.
Meibrys Viloria - Kansas City Royals, C - Pass. Long term project with power. I usually do not buy catchers due how long it takes to develop them.
Mitchell White - Los Angeles Dodgers, P - Strong Buy. Mitchell's ground ball rate is high and the K rate is also where it needs to be. Injuries have kept him off lists.
Nick Banks - Washington Nationals, OF - Scouts seem to doubt Nick but the extra base hits are there and the strikeout rate is not bad. Buy.
Ofelky Peralta - Baltimore Orioles, P - Pass. Walk rate is high. Seems to have command issues.
Ryan Howard - San Francisco Giants, SS - Bargain Bin Buy. Another prospect scouts are not talking about but the stats say otherwise.
Ryan O'Hearn - Kansas City Royals, 1B - Pass. Older prospect with a high K rate.
Steven Duggar - San Francisco Giants, OF - Pass. Injury history with no pop.
Starling Heredia - Los Angeles Dodgers, OF - Strong Buy. Only 18 years old and has power potential. He has some swing and miss but at his age there is plenty of time. I trust the organization.
Sixto Sanchez - Philadelphia Phillies, P - Strong Buy. Talented arm and his command is above average.
Trevor Clifton - Chicago Cubs, P - Pass. Command is not there and could move to bullpen.
Torii Hunter Jr. - Los Angeles Angels, OF - Late start due to his college football career but its obvious that rookie ball was too easy. I want to see if he can develop some power. Watch for now but be ready to Buy immediately if power numbers spike. He needs to be tested in Advanced A or AA.
Tomas Nido - New York Mets, C - Pass. Love the stats but I think he is a backup.
Vladimir Gutierrez - Cincinnati Reds, P - Watch. Need to see more K's per 9.
Wander Javier - Minnesota Twins, SS - Watch. Younger prospect with upside but the prices seem to be a little too high for a prospect that you hope develops power.
Yusniel Diaz - Los Angeles Dodgers, OF - Diaz is probably the hottest prospect in this product and deserves a BUY rating. He repeated A+ ball this year but did not tear it up as people expected. The stats were exactly the same. I would wait until prices settle to buy. He is still working on his swing and youth is on his side. If a base auto drops to $20, buy immediately. Prices are way too high. Diaz's case is a perfect storm of stats showing the real picture vs market demand (Los Angeles) and top prospect lists creating price spikes.
Sunday, September 17, 2017
Why I Missed San Diego Padres SS Fernando Tatis Jr
When the 2016 edition of Bowman was released, I placed Fernando Tatis Jr on my short list of recommendations but ultimately left him off my final list. Why did I pass? Well the main reason and only reason was because of the strikeout rate. My dislike for strikeouts has cost me this year. It seems that across the industry strikeouts really don't matter in the minors or majors. Tatis's strikeout rate was over 20% this season but a 20/20 season has made his card prices spike. Even though the view on striking out has changed, I will still value the prospects with plate discipline over the ones with high strikeout rates. I think the proper approach to take is to perform research on the player to see if he is working on making more contact at the plate. Invest in a few autos and when improvements show buy immediately before a substantial increase occurs.
Saturday, April 22, 2017
My Thoughts on The MILB Season So Far
The MILB season is underway and even though its early there are a few observations that I think will help everyone with their prospecting. Check out these quick hits.
Vladimir Guerrrero Jr. - Currently has more walks than strikeouts. He's pretty much his dad with bat control. Let that sink in.
Anthony Alford - Nice prospect that battled injuries and is finally coming around. His cards have already flown off Ebay.
Lewis Brinson - On fire in Triple A but the Milwaukee market always scares me. If he was still with the Rangers his prices would be insane.
AJ Puk - Off to a great start this season. Small sample size but I love the talent.
Ryan Mountcastle - Having a nice season so far with 4Hr and a decent BB/K ratio.
Alex Verdugo - Currently lighting up Triple A at age 21. My only concern is can he hit for power. I'm willing to wait and see. The payoff could be huge.
Vladimir Guerrrero Jr. - Currently has more walks than strikeouts. He's pretty much his dad with bat control. Let that sink in.
Anthony Alford - Nice prospect that battled injuries and is finally coming around. His cards have already flown off Ebay.
Lewis Brinson - On fire in Triple A but the Milwaukee market always scares me. If he was still with the Rangers his prices would be insane.
AJ Puk - Off to a great start this season. Small sample size but I love the talent.
Ryan Mountcastle - Having a nice season so far with 4Hr and a decent BB/K ratio.
Alex Verdugo - Currently lighting up Triple A at age 21. My only concern is can he hit for power. I'm willing to wait and see. The payoff could be huge.
Sunday, April 2, 2017
MILB.com Prospect Primers
MILB.com has provided full prospect primers for all 30 teams. These highly recommend and fun to read. I have learned some things and actually found a few new prospects to add to my list. Enjoy!
MLB Prospect Primers from MILB.Com
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