Tuesday, May 28, 2013

Bargain Bin - Jarred Cosart

Bargain Bin - Cheap Prospects with Upside

The first post of a new column, I hope to highlight lower priced Bowman Chrome Autos of prospects who seem to be better than their pricing dictates.  To start it off...

Card: 2011 Bowman Chrome Autograph
Cost: A couple bucks
Why: Once a top prospect, Cosart is again proving why he has the potential to be an ace.  His heater hits the high 90s, and his curve is a plus offering.  This year, he has had the enormously difficult task of pitching in AAA's PCL, one of the least forgiving leagues for opposing pitchers, but Cosart has looked very sharp (5-2, 2.65 ERA, 57 K, 54 IP).  His major weakness is control (29 BB in 54 IP).  If he can get that in check, look out.

Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Checking In On My Recommendations

I hope to provide the best possible service for all my blog followers, which must include full disclosure.  As such, here is a quick update on players I have recommended, ordered from most positive to least...

What's Happened Since:
*Yawn* Edwards just continues to do what he does best, which is FLAT OUT DOMINATE!!  Since my recommendation, Edwards had one outing: 7 IP - 1 H - 7 K - 2 BB
He's a stud.  BUY.  BUY.  Then BUY some more.

What's Happened Since:
Kivlehan continues to "quietly" perform very well.  Over his last 4 games he is 7-16 with 7 RBI.  He is trending nicely: April's OPS .710 --> May's OPS thus far .852

What's Happened Since:
Since my recommendation, Chafin has been promoted to AA where control seems to be an issue, but otherwise, he looks pretty good (18 IP, 3.00 ERA).

What's Happened Since:
Since my recommendation, Plawecki has come back to earth, no longer hitting .400.  But there are plenty of positive signs especially his knowledge of the strike zone.  His BB:K ratio continues to impress as well as his knack for extra base hits.  I'd BUY more Plawecki if and when his prices dip.

Thursday, May 16, 2013

C.J. Edwards (RHP, Tex)

C.J. Edwards, RHP, Texas Rangers
Bats: R Throws: R HT: 6-2 WT: 155 DOB: September 3, 1991

Hickory Crawdads
Class A South Atlantic League

Drafted by the Texas Rangers in the 48th round of the 2011 MLB June Amateur Draft from Mid-Carolina HS (Prosperity, SC), Edwards has a Bowman Chrome auto from the new 2013 Bowman set that goes for less than $10.
So far, Edwards has dominated (as you can see below), and was the Rangers Minor League Pitcher of the Month in April. 

Listed at only 155 lbs, Edwards throws 94-96 mph, and reminds me a bit of Pedro Martinez and Carlos Martinez because of the amazing velocity their slight frames are able to produce.  Adding to that he has quickly developed a plus changeup that sits in the low 80's with fade action.

Since I first started buying Edwards autos, I have noticed a very nice upward trend in price and demand and I have faith it'll continue.

Eye-Popping Trends:
  • Has struck out more batters than hits and walks combined

Tuesday, May 14, 2013

Hot Prospects - 2013 Bowman Chrome Autos (Part 2)

PART 2....
Here are some of the prospects who have Bowman Chrome Autographs from the newly released 2013 Bowman who have noteworthy stats

BCP-JB Jorge Bonifacio - Royals 
.325 avg - .404 obp - 16/22 BB/K  

BCP-JBI Jesse Biddle - Phillies
 Had an unbelievable 3-game stretch: 19 IP - 6 H - 1 R - 34 K
 Impressive Ratios so far this year:
K/9     K/BB    HR/9    K%        AVG    WHIP    LOB%
11.05    2.50      0.49     31.0 %    .126       0.93       70.5 %

BCP-JM Julio Morban - Mariners
At first glance, he looks impressive hitting .342, but beneath the surface his .477 BABIP is completely unrealistic.

Monday, May 13, 2013

Hot Prospects - 2013 Bowman Chrome Autos (Part 1)

Here are some of the prospects who have Bowman Chrome Autographs from the newly released 2013 Bowman who have noteworthy stats
BCP-AA Andrew Aplin - Astros
34 G - 33 RBI - 24 BB/13 K

BCP-AM Alex Meyer - Twins
2-1  3.58    37.2 IP  47 K   2.15 GB:FB

BCP-BB Byron Buxton - Twins
Hit .392 in April

BCP-CBL Clayton Blackburn - Giants
2-0    3.00    33.0 IP   24 H   42 K/6 BB in the very tough CAL league

BCP-CC Carlos Correa - Astros
#1 overall pick in 2012 is NOT playing like it

BCP-CE C.J. Edwards - Rangers
My favorite pitcher of the set - 3-1    2.27    35.2 IP   23 H   39 K

BCP-EB Eddie Butler - Rockies 
3-1  1.76  41 IP  18 H  38 K / 22 BB

BCP-GP Gregory Polanco - Pirates
Looking good in all phases of the game
.303     4 HR   19 RBI   13 BB   19 K   13 SB

Friday, May 10, 2013

Patrick Kivlehan (3B, Sea)

Excuse my bias towards a fellow Rutgers grad, but check out this story...

Patrick Kivlehan was a back-up defensive back for the Rutgers Scarlet Knights football team from 2009 - 2011.  Then, on a whim, he decided to try out for the baseball team his senior year.  Sure, why not?  He used to play in high school so what the hey...

Kivlehan made the RU baseball team in the Spring of 2012 as a walk on and won the starting third base gig.  Pretty impressive for a dude who hadn't played baseball in 4 years...

Well, Mr. Kivlehan started to hit, and hit some more... and ended his first and only NCAA baseball year, leading Rutgers in batting (.392), home runs (14), RBI’s (50), slugging percentage (.693), on-base percentage (.480), and steals (24)...

Monday, May 6, 2013

Andrew Chafin (SP, Ariz)


Chafin has great peripheral numbers and has been a victim of inflated hitting stats in the CAL league.  He was just promoted to AA which means he's no longer in CAL.

Chafin's FIP is a very good 2.91, and gets 9.29 k/9 IP.  He has some control issues (but looked good over the last 2 starts), and he has proven he has swing and miss stuff.  It could be interesting seeing him pitch in a league other than CAL, and with low end 2012 Bowman Chrome autos, I think he's a nice sleeper play.

The book on him is that he's got great movement low in the zone, making him a heavy groundball pitcher - a 90-95 mph heater, plus slider, and a solid changeup.  His ceiling is as high as a #2 or #3 starting pitcher.

He's the kind of prospect that makes me say, "Hey, why not..."

Sunday, May 5, 2013

Kevin Plawecki (C, NYM)

As I mentioned 2 weeks ago in my post about 2012 BDPP players who were off to hot starts, Kevin Plawecki intrigued me the most.  I'd just like to reiterate that and post his numbers now that he has 100 AB's under his belt.  This dude just keeps on raking and for some reason his 2012 Bowman Chrome Draft autos still only sell for about $10.

  • 22% of his AT BATS have resulted in an extra base hit
  • He has struck out in only 11% of his plate appearances
  • He failed to reach base in only ONE game so far this year
  • 12 multi-hit games, 7 3-hit games
  • Leads the SAL in H, 2B, HR, RBI, TB, AVG, OBP, SLG
  • 0 Errors, has thrown out 6 potential base stealers
I've read some ridiculous articles that say he's too old for the league which is why he's playing so well.  In response to that, let me list the ages of all of the players on Plawecki's team:
20, 20, 20, 21, 21, 21, 21, 22, 22, 22, 22, 22, 22, 22, 22, 22, 22, 23, 23, 23, 23, 23, 24, 24, 24, 24
Now, when you hear a skeptic say Plawecki is too old for the league, what would you guess his age is?  Well, he just turned 22.  He's the 8th youngest guy on his team of 26 players.

AVG     G    AB    R    H    2B   HR    RBI    TB    BB    SO     OBP    SLG    OPS 
.416      26   101   16   42    17      5       26       74     7        13      .470     .733    1.202

AVG    AB    R    H    2B    HR    RBI    BB    SO    OBP    SLG    OPS
.474     38     5     18    8        2         10       2       5      .512    .842    1.354