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Showing posts with label 2016 Bowman Baseball. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2016 Bowman Baseball. Show all posts

Friday, May 29, 2020

A Review of My Past Bowman Baseball Recommendations (2015-16)

Here at Prospects for Cash I think its important to look back at previous recommendations to see where I went wrong and how to get better. Its important to hold myself accountable. A ton of other sites don't.

Hit Rate - 19 Hits/44 Total Recommendations = 43%

The goal is to be around 55% similar to most professional gamblers.

2016 Bowman Chrome Draft

Alex Kirlloff - Minnesota Twins OF - Hit. I prefer to wait until they play past rookie ball.

Bo Bichette - Toronto Blue Jays SS - Hit. He's good.

Cavan Biggio - Toronto Blue Jays 2B - Hit. Auto's were dirt cheap upon release.

Justin Dunn - Seattle Mariners P - Miss. Tough one. Awesome talent but never really took off. Notice a trend with pitchers?

Pete Alonso - New York Mets 1B - Auto's were $10-$15 bucks upon release. Hit.

Taylor Trammell - San Diego Padres OF - Hit. One of my strongest recommendations.

Will Benson - Cleveland Indians OF - Hit. Still keeping an eye on him.

AJ Puk - Oakland Athletics P - Hit. Was really on fire before the elbow surgery. Did you sell at the right time?

Corey Ray - Milwaukee Brewers OF - Hit. Waited but never purchased an auto. A bust so far.

Bobby Dalbec - Boston Red Sox 3B - Another player I avoided. Too many K's. Hit

Delvin Perez - St Louis Cardinals SS - Hit. Because i did not buy him.

Gavin Lux - Los Angeles Dodgers 2B - Hit. Check my posts in 2017.

2016 Bowman Chrome

Domingo Leyba - Arizona Diamondbacks 2B - See Dustin Fowler.

Dustin Fowler - New York Yankees OF - A good player but never really took off. Miss.

Juan Soto - Washington Nationals OF - Hit. A beast. Rookie ball stats do not matter.

Oneil Cruz - Pittsburgh Pirates OF - Hit. Auto's were going for $5 bucks at this time. Now they are $40.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr - Toronto Blue Jays OF - Hit. Nothing else really to say here. His auto was less than $100 bucks at this time.

Yadier Alvarez - Los Angeles Dodgers P - Miss.

Cornelius Randolph - Philadelphia Phillies OF - Miss. Only 22 but I thought he would be a better hitter.

Jahmai Jones - Los Angeles Angles 2B - Miss. I expected him to be in the majors already.

Eddy Martinez - Chicago Cubs OF - Miss.

2016 Bowman Baseball 

Tyler O'Neill - St Louis Cardinals OF - Miss. Bench player.

Jhailyn Ortiz - Philadelphia Phillies OF - Miss. Only 21 but has great power. Contact has not improved.

Juan Yepez - St Louis Cardinals 1B - Miss. 22 years old. Has power but never really devloped like I expected.

Anderson Espinoza - San Diego Padres P - Miss. Has battled injuries.

2015 Bowman Draft

Carson Fulmer - Chicago White Sox P - Miss. Never got to the level I thought he would.

Dillon Tate - Baltimore Orioles P - Miss. See above.

Phil Bickford - Milwaukee Brewers P - Miss. Great talent but never put it all together.

Austin Riley - Atlanta Braves 3B - Hit. Great debut. Dropped off a bit but you could of made good money here.

Christin Stewart - Detroit Tigers OF - Miss. One of those cases where a nice prospect plays well but no one cares because the team is not good.

Trent Clark - San Diego Padres OF - Hit. I would say this is a hit but you really had to be patient and sell at the right time.

Ke'Bryan Hayes - Pittsburgh Pirates 3B - Hit. A top 100 prospect but still needs to hit for more power.

Other Recommendations 

Gary Sanchez - New York Yankees C - Nov 2015 - Hit. Was very hot when he was called up and remains a contributor.

Tyler Stephenson - Cincinnati Reds C - April 2016 - Miss. Has battled injuries and catchers take a while to develop.

Ronald Guzman - Texas Rangers 1B - May 2016 - Miss. A hit only prospect that did not take off as expected.

Tim Anderson - Chicago White Sox SS - May 2016 - Miss. This one is tough. He has played well but the price has not taken off.

Clint Frazier - New York Yankees OF - June 2016 - Miss. Loved the talent but is blocked in New York. If he stayed in Cleveland I think he would of been a star.

Alex Verdugo - Boston Red Sox OF - July 2016 - Hit. Prices have remained consistent and he is still in a big market.

Bradley Zimmer - Cleveland Indians OF - July 2016 - Miss. Loved his athletic ability but did not pop as expected.

Lewis Brinson - Miami Marlins OF - July 2016 - Miss. Loved the talent and if you sold at the right time you made money .

Travis Demeritte - Detroit Tigers OF - July 2016 - Miss. Too many strikeouts.

Nick Plummer - St Louis Cardinals OF - July 2016 - Miss. Never developed.

Daz Cameron - Detroit Tigers - July 2016 - Miss. Too many strikeouts.

David Dahl - Colorado Rockies OF - Miss. Loved Dahl as a prospect but he battled injuries and Colorado prospects never sell. I was really high on him.

Takeaways

1. Pitchers don't sell unless they are an ace and continue to be the biggest investment risk.
2. Prospecting is harder than you think.
3. Patience is key.
4. Sometimes its good to sell a player while they are still in the minors.
5. A lot of players don't come close to making it.

Links to Original Prospect Review Posts 

2015 Bowman Draft Prospect Post 

2016 Bowman Baseball Prospect Post 

2016 Bowman Baseball Prospect Post Pt 2 

2016 Bowman Chrome Prospect Post 

2016 Bowman Draft Prospect Post 

Sunday, May 15, 2016

2016 Bowman Baseball Autographs - Prospects To Buy (Part 2)

Here are a few more prospects I like out of the recent 2016 Bowman Baseball release.

Atlanta Braves 3b - Juan Yepez -Yepez had a nice rookie campaign showing a little power and hit for a decent average. I will be watching closely to see if is BB:K rate improves and if his extra base hits increase. He is only 18 so there is a lot of room for growth. This recommendation is more of a watch and see than a buy.

Boston Red Sox P - Anderson Espinoza - Anderson is putting up an impressive 12 SO9 this season. He is a hard thrower with impressive stuff. The prices do reflect the success. Base autos are selling for $30-40 dollars.

Sunday, May 8, 2016

2016 Bowman Baseball Autographs - Prospects To Buy

2016 Bowman Baseball has been released and here are some names that prospectors should consider. If you want to know my philosophy on how I choose these prospects, please read my previous posts analyzing 2015 Bowman Draft and 2014 Bowman Draft. Overall there were not too many choices that got my attention outside of the obvious high end guys (Moncada, Bregman, Robles). Please make sure to watch Ebay and other secondary markets closely for prices. I expect cases are still being ripped open so prices should normalize out over the next few weeks.


Seattle Mariners - Tyler O'Neill - I have to admit I never heard of this kid before this season started but he is putting up some good numbers in Double A as a 20 year old. 6HR/.324 Avg/ .945 OPS. I will be watching closely to see if he improves on his BB/K. Autos can be purchased for $10-$15.


Philadelphia Phillies - Jhailyn Ortiz - Ortiz has not played a game of pro ball yet but his auto's are still selling for $10-$15. Why? Well according to the scouting reports this kid has some impressive power. At full maturity most scouts expect him to hit 25 homers annually while playing 1st base. I would suggest carefully monitoring prices as well as his progress before purchasing.


Stay tuned for Part 2 in the next few days.

2016 Bowman Baseball Autograph Checklist With Links to Ebay