Sunday, August 11, 2013

Reader Feedback: What's Wrong With Joc Pederson?

Reader Feedback: What's Wrong With Joc Pederson?

 

What's Wrong With Joc Pederson?

The facts: 

Joc Pederson (Stats) was one of my favorite mid-end prospects entering this season.  He was fairly priced, showed nice pop, and had the ability to steal a bag.  By mid-season (believe it or not), Joc's numbers were very similar to George Springer (Stats).  Unless you were sleeping under a rock, you now know Springer is probably putting up the most impressive minor league season this year.  So, for Joc to keep pace through 300 ABs says a lot.

But since July, Joc's numbers have been awful (despite playing in the same league):
15-for-84 with 28 K / 15 BB, only 4 SB / 3 CS, and little power - 2 HR
  • 33% K Rate, compared to only 24% before that
  • Stolen Base success rate dropped from 89% to 57%
  • And his average dropped from .302 down to .179
QUESTION:
What happened?  Would you be a panic seller of his 2012 Bowman Chrome Autos or are you buying on the price dip?

POST YOUR THOUGHTS BELOW.  I'D LOVE TO HEAR FROM YOU...

2012 Bowman Chrome Joc Pederson Prospect Autograph Baseball Card Dodgers Top Prospect


17 comments:

  1. No comments about Joc but love your work. What do you think about Matt Olson?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thanks. I appreciate that.

      I'm a fan of Matt Olson. I think he'll develop legit corner infield power, and he's in a good organization for learning patience and pitch recognition. He's a long term investment though, very raw. If you don't mind holding for a while and you can stomach the ups and downs (like his .160 avg since July), Olson could be a good one.

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  2. I was at the Chattanooga Lookouts game last night for a double header (finishing Fridays rain shortened game) and Pederson was out of the lineup for both games and coaching first base during the Lookouts at bats. I caught my first foul ball ever and gave it to a kid sitting in front of me and he got Pederson to sign it in between games. Seems like a great guy, just in a funk right now.

    ReplyDelete
  3. How about Nick Castellanos? Are you buying, holding, or selling?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Nah, I wouldn't buy Castellanos. If I had him, I'd sell once he gets promoted. He's a weaker version of Christian Yelich, minus the speed, with less power. Yelich's SV has been $30 since last year. Castellanos is $30 now, so like Yelich, it'll probably still be $30 next year.

      Delete
  4. What do you think about Luis Sardinas?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Pass, Sardinas has no pop. Check out Odor, Guzman, and the other Rangers hitting prospects instead. Much more upside and demand.

      Delete
    2. So should I get out as soon as I can or hold until he gets promoted??

      Delete
    3. Really depends on whether you can profit, and what your expectations were. If you can at least break even, I'd sell. Just my opinion, of course.

      Delete
  5. Curious of your thoughts on:

    Christian Villanueva
    Brandon Martin
    Clay Holmes

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I like Villanueva but he'll always be overshadowed by Baez, Soler, Vogelbach, etc.

      Don't like Brandon Martin.

      And Heredia is the raw Pirates pitching prospect to shoot for.

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  6. I like Holmes, maybe not as a break out prospect, but when his Chrome Auto is $1 - $2, it has no where to go but up

    Cody Buckel is at a $1 - $2 a Chrome Auto also, not a terrible gamble there either, IMO

    How do you feel about?

    Mark Montgomery?
    The next big Yankees Star or another in a line of flops?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Until the Yankees develop a solid pitching prospect, I have no faith in them. Banuelos, Joba, Hughes, Betances... gross. I'd buy super low on Ty Hensley, if anyone, but that's a long wait because of his injury. He has elite stuff though and is dirt cheap.

      Delete
  7. I really like the idea of getting reader feedback! Thanks for doing something like this. Maybe you could start a once a week article where you answer a few questions that people have (This but not just in the comments section) that they send you via email or twitter or something like that.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thanks, much appreciated! I'd start a weekly Q and A article but readers can always ask me anything here, on twitter, or email. I can post an article summing up questions I got and answers though. That's a good idea.

      Delete
  8. What do you think about the Twins farm system?? What do you think about these players and investing in each? Pro's and Con's of each??

    What do you think about:
    -Eddie Rosario
    -Alex Meyer
    -Jose Berrios
    -Kohl Stewart
    -Oswaldo Arcia
    -Adam Brett Walker
    -Byron Buxton
    -Migeul Sano

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Stay tuned for my Twins team post which should cover most of those guys. In a nutshell, Sano and Buxton are way to expensive for my taste and probably fairly priced so it doesn't excite me. I'm a huge fan of Arcia, very professional hitter, and I've talked about him before on the blog. I like EdRo as well, very impressive for his age. And lastly, I love Alex Meyer too. Search the blog for him. I definitely mentioned him because of how impressive his scouting grades were for his fastball (75) and curve (65), the TWO quintessential predictors for future success.

      Don't care about the others until I see chrome autos of them. Non autos are typically weak investments and too much work.

      Delete