Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Bargain Bin - Justin Nicolino (SP, Mia)

How much would you pay for a recently released Bowman Chrome prospect autograph of a prospect who ranks as high as the 39th best MLB prospect, by (64th by, is 21 years old, and has career stats of 19-7, 2.13 ERA, 235 K, 253.2 IP...

If you said that you'd only pay $2 for that chrome auto, then, well, you're out of luck.  But if your number was above $6 or $7 (which it most likely is), then Justin Nicolino's BC autos are a bargain.

The 2013 Bowman release is a bit tricky.  Unfortunately, the base autographs were overproduced, and prices are reflecting that large supply.  So, can this be a reason as to why Nicolino's autos are so cheap?  Perhaps.  But then again, Buxton, Correa, Polanco, etc. have no problems fetching some nice prices for their base autographs.

So, what's left is a severely underpriced, overlooked stud pitching prospect, Justin Nicolino.

Nicolino was traded from Toronto to Miami in the blockbuster trade involving Josh Johnson, Jose Reyes, and Buehrle.  While in Toronto, he pitched alongside fellow studs, Aaron Sanchez and Noah Syndergaard.  This year, he is in a farm system that recently called up uber stud Jose Fernandez.  Nicolino lacks the high 90s velocity of those guys.  His strengths are secondary offerings, intelligence, mound presence, etc.  I sometimes wonder whether the lack of a 98+ mph heater hinders the price of pitching prospects like Nicolino... but damn, this kid knows how to pitch and has yet to show any signs of struggle in his development.

At his super low prices, I'd buy.

No comments:

Post a Comment